The
products and services that we use are developing in two seemingly opposite
directions:
On one hand, we are demanding solutions that are much more
personalized and adapted to fit the exact context that we use them in.
Technology
has given us powerful tools to co-create and configure what we want. The
conventional, top-down, one-size fits all solutions that we have been provided
with so far seem to be losing their ability to solve our current challenges and
to create the next level of value.
Mass customization
and 3D printing, Quantified self in healthcare, and the millions of privately
owned solar panels contributing to the energy supply are examples of the
movement towards decentralization and user-involvement.
On the other hand, companies and organizations are growing to
unprecedented dimensions. The same products and brands are sold worldwide, the
issues we face are global, supply chains are long and crisscrossing the world,
and it is clear that we are increasingly connected, interacting and interdependent.
There are currently 4,5 billion mobile phone users on the planet, and the
number is rising rapidly – as is the bandwidth of our connections.
These two
movements: Towards the global and unified, and towards the hyper local with value
creation at the periphery, are driven forwards and shaped by three strong
trends:
- There are
increasing resource and environmental constraints, which dictate that solutions
be ever more efficient, making more with less, or completely substituting our
current ways of meeting demands.
-
Increasingly, every action and condition will be registered and analyzed. Big
data will create transparency as to demands and preferences, and the
availability of resources. The intense use of data should enable a much more
precise allocation of resources, and a better understanding of costs and
consequences – also in a wider and more long-term perspective.
- As always
in a market economy, there is pressure to reduce cost in order to compete. That
pressure will be particularly high in a world economy driven mainly by a new
developing-world middleclass that’s coming up out of poverty and looking for
affordable solutions, and by a stagnating western economy, with companies
challenged by a new class of low cost competitors from the emerging markets.
All told, a
new model for value creation is taking shape – and it seems to be happening in
almost any sector. Rather than companies and organizations providing ready made
solutions on a mass scale, focus is on creating broad platforms that enable a
number of stakeholders: consumers and other companies, to participate in
co-creating highly contextualized solutions.
Examples of
such platforms are Apple’s App-store, the crowd-funding site Kickstarter, Ebay,
Airbnb and Wikipedia.
These
platforms can be global and they can accommodate both very large players and
small, individual contributors. It’s a model that bridges the seemingly
opposite trends towards the global and
the local.
To the
extent that the economy moves towards platforms, which function as enablers and
brokers, it will create some important new patterns in business.
The
solutions that are created will be highly integrated, using input from several,
hitherto separate industries and combining very different types of players in
the value creation: corporations, small businesses, volunteers, users, public
sector institutions etc.
The
interaction will be highly complex, and like any complex system, results can be
unpredictable and develop in non-linear ways, even more open to fads and sudden
successes and crashes than the current marketplace.
There will
be very strong monopoly tendencies. Once a company has developed a well
functioning platform, the marginal costs of letting in new users are low. At
the same time, there are strong network effects: The more that use a platform,
the more valuable it becomes for all users.
Likewise,
global platforms can tend to be ”winner-take-all” systems. Consumers can pick
the best available from the superstars on the platform – while everyone else
will find it hard to attract users. Furthermore, on a platform that includes contributions
from amateurs and volunteers, professionals and companies will find that they
are competing against solutions that cost next to nothing. Whether you are a rental car company, a
photographer, a designer or a hotel, you will feel a much harder pressure on
prices.
The
platform model will enable a much more efficient use of resources, it will
mobilize competences and capacities that are currently not utilized, and it
will allow users to co-create and configure highly individualized solutions
from a global supply.
It will
also increase competition and challenge the way businesses are currently making
money.
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